🗳️ Elections

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
32%
No
68%
No (68%)Yes (32%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$22k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 32%.

About this market

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
32%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$22k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen