Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned? — Before Mar 1, 2027

Live

Resolves Mar 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

66%

34%

No (34%)Yes (66%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 66%.

About this market

If Jair Bolsonaro receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned? — Before Jan 10, 2027

61%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

66%

probability of YES

Kalshi

66%Check

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Resolution

Mar 1, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$6k

Liquidity$936

CategoryElections

StatusOpen