🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3%
Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
58%
No
42%
No (42%)Yes (58%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$805
Liquidity
$487
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 58%.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%
74%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥5%
39%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%
16%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
4%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥11%
4%
Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$805
Liquidity$487
CategoryElections
StatusOpen