🗳️ Elections
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Flávio Bolsonaro

Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$6k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Ciro Gomes
66%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Ratinho Júnior
65%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Aldo Rebelo
63%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Fernando Haddad
63%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Jair Bolsonaro
54%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Tarcísio de Freitas
50%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Augusto Cury
49%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Renan Santos
48%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
46%
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
42%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Ronaldo Caiado
15%
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Eduardo Bolsonaro
6%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
4%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Michelle Bolsonaro
3%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Romeu Zema
2%
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen