Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

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Resolves Oct 25, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

98%

No (98%)Yes (2%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?

Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo? — Flávio Bolsonaro

98%

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Avg probability

probability of YES

Kalshi

2%Check

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Resolution

Oct 25, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$9k

Liquidity$6k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen