🗳️ Elections

Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?

Live
Resolves Aug 20, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
34%
No
66%
No (66%)Yes (34%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$15
Liquidity
$772

About this market

If the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
34%
probability of YES
Kalshi
34%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Aug 20, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$15
Liquidity$772
CategoryElections
StatusOpen