📊 Macro
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.1%
Live
Resolves Dec 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$9k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 27pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.1% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4%
98%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.0%
97%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.3%
96%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.5%
96%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.2%
93%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.1%
92%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.6%
83%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.7%
72%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8%
25%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9%
10%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.8%
7%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.7%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.3%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.2%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.9%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.4%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.6%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.5%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 5.0%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.0%
1%
Resolution
Dec 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$9k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen