🗳️ Elections
Will the Clarity Act become law?

Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$547
Liquidity
$167k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the Clarity Act become law?

Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2028
25%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Oct 1, 2027
14%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jul 1, 2027
10%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Apr 1, 2027
8%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027
7%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Nov 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$547
Liquidity$167k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen