🗳️ Elections
Diesel price on Election Day
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.00
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
99%
No
1%
No (1%)Yes (99%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 99%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 is above $5.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Diesel price on Election Day
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $4.60
99%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $4.40
98%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $4.80
97%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.20
95%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.40
93%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.60
90%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.80
88%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.00
65%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.20
64%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.40
45%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.60
20%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $7.00
10%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.80
7%
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $7.20
6%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen