🎯 Other
State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Slack / disinflation

Live
Resolves Jan 13, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Overheating
68%
State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Soft landing
33%
State of the economy at the end of 2026 — Stagflation
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 13, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen