Predictboard ·
📊 Macro
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026

Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026 — Above 3.75%

Live
Resolves Jan 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
99%
No
1%
No (1%)Yes (99%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 99%.

About this market

If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026

Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026 — Above 3.50%
99%
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026 — Above 4.00%
94%
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026 — Above 4.25%
20%
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026 — Above 4.50%
19%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
99%
probability of YES
Kalshi
99%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$1k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen