📊 Macro
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 4.25%

Live
Resolves Oct 27, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
95%
No
5%
No (5%)Yes (95%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 95%. Kalshi has moved up 45pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 3.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 3.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 2.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 0.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 1.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 2.50%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 1.50%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 0.50%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 1.75%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 2.75%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 1.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 0.75%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 2.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 3.75%
97%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 4.00%
97%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 3.50%
96%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 0.00%
92%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 4.50%
82%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 4.75%
59%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 5.00%
29%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 5.25%
9%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 5.50%
4%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 5.75%
3%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting? — Above 6.00%
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
95%
probability of YES
Kalshi
95%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 27, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen