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🗳️ Elections
Will France declare a state of emergency?

Will France declare a state of emergency? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
29%
No
71%
No (71%)Yes (29%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 29%.

About this market

If the French government declares a state of emergency (état d'urgence) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will France declare a state of emergency?

Will France declare a state of emergency? — Before Nov 1, 2026
17%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
29%
probability of YES
Kalshi
29%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen