🗳️ Elections
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Live
Resolves Apr 18, 2028KalshiVolume-weighted avg
36%
No
64%
No (64%)Yes (36%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$437
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 36%.
About this market
If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Édouard Philippe
27%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Raphaël Glucksmann
13%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Gabriel Attal
9%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Bruno Retailleau
5%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Marine Le Pen
3%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — François Hollande
2%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Jordan Bardella
2%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Éric Zemmour
2%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Xavier Bertrand
2%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — François Ruffin
2%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Marine Tondelier
2%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — David Lisnard
2%
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — Dominique de Villepin
2%
Resolution
Apr 18, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$437
CategoryElections
StatusOpen