🗳️ Elections
French presidential election: who will advance?
French presidential election: who will advance? — Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Live
Resolves Apr 17, 2028KalshiVolume-weighted avg
37%
No
63%
No (63%)Yes (37%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 37%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Jean-Luc Mélenchon is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · French presidential election: who will advance?
French presidential election: who will advance? — Marine Le Pen
52%
French presidential election: who will advance? — Édouard Philippe
40%
French presidential election: who will advance? — Gabriel Attal
16%
French presidential election: who will advance? — Dominique de Villepin
10%
French presidential election: who will advance? — Jordan Bardella
9%
French presidential election: who will advance? — Bernard Cazeneuve
8%
French presidential election: who will advance? — Raphaël Glucksmann
8%
French presidential election: who will advance? — François Hollande
7%
French presidential election: who will advance? — Sébastien Lecornu
6%
French presidential election: who will advance? — Élisabeth Borne
6%
French presidential election: who will advance? — Bruno Retailleau
6%
French presidential election: who will advance? — Olivier Faure
5%
Resolution
Apr 17, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen