📊 Macro
US real GDP growth in 2026?
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 1.1% to 1.5%
Live
Resolves Feb 28, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$1
Liquidity
$14k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is between 1.1% to 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · US real GDP growth in 2026?
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 2.1% to 2.5%
51%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 1.6% to 2.0%
32%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 2.6% to 3.0%
13%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 3.1% to 3.5%
5%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 0.1% to 0.5%
1%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 0.0% or Below
1%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 4.1% to 4.5%
1%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 0.6% to 1.0%
1%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 4.6% to 5.0%
0%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 6.1% or Above
0%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 3.6% to 4.0%
0%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 5.6% to 6.0%
0%
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 5.1% to 5.5%
0%
Resolution
Feb 28, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1
Liquidity$14k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen