🗳️ Elections
Texas Governor: margin of victory
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, ≥12%
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$829
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 4%.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Governor: margin of victory
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%
16%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 4-6%
12%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 2-4%
12%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 6-8%
12%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 0-2%
11%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%
11%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 8-10%
7%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%
7%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Gina Hinojosa, 4-6%
6%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 10-12%
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$829
CategoryElections
StatusOpen