🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2026
Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$53k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.
About this market
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2029
86%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2028
83%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2028
70%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2027
47%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2027
44%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Apr 1, 2027
37%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Dec 1, 2026
19%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Nov 1, 2026
14%
Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$53k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen