🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
24%
No
76%
No (76%)Yes (24%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$51k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 24%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Nov 1, 2026
11%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2026
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
24%
probability of YES
Kalshi
24%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$51k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen