🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Dec 1, 2026
Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$98k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 21%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2029
86%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2028
82%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2027
79%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2028
79%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2027
70%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Apr 1, 2027
68%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Feb 1, 2027
59%
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$98k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen