Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall? — Ashley Hinson

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Resolves Dec 7, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

61%

39%

No (39%)Yes (61%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 61%.

About this market

If Ashley Hinson's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election minus Roger Marshall's margin in the Kansas U.S. Senate election is at least 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?

Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall? — Roger Marshall

51%

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Avg probability

61%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Dec 7, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$7k

Liquidity$6k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen