🗳️ Elections
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — October 4
Live
Resolves Oct 6, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$419
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 15%.
About this market
If Oct 4, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — September 30
24%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — October 2
17%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — September 28
16%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — October 1
15%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — October 3
14%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — September 29
5%
Resolution
Oct 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$419
CategoryElections
StatusOpen