🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 10
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$323
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 49pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 3
94%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 4
83%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 5
53%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 6
30%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 7
6%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 8
5%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 9
3%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$323
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen