🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 12
Live
Resolves Oct 13, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$506
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 4%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 12 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 4
95%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 6
45%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 8
17%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 10
4%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 14
2%
Resolution
Oct 13, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$506
CategoryElections
StatusOpen