🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 8
Live
Resolves Oct 13, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
18%
No
82%
No (82%)Yes (18%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$527
Liquidity
$923
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 18%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 4
95%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 6
45%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 10
4%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 12
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 14
2%
Resolution
Oct 13, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$527
Liquidity$923
CategoryElections
StatusOpen