🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 4
Live
Resolves Oct 20, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
87%
No
13%
No (13%)Yes (87%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 87%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 5
64%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 6
34%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 8
10%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 10
6%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 14
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 12
2%
Resolution
Oct 20, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen