🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 30
Live
Resolves Nov 17, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$112
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 22%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 15
92%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 20
82%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 23
64%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 25
53%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 27
41%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 35
10%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 40
8%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 50
2%
Resolution
Nov 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$112
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen