🗳️ Elections
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 3

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

If the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party is at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 1
22%
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 2
10%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
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Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen