🗳️ Elections
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? — Above 20
Live
Resolves Oct 27, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
70%
No
30%
No (30%)Yes (70%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$319
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 70%. Kalshi has moved down 14pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Likud has won above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? — Above 17
93%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? — Above 23
46%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? — Above 24
27%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? — Above 26
13%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? — Above 29
3%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? — Above 32
1%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? — Above 35
1%
Resolution
Oct 27, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$319
CategoryElections
StatusOpen