🗳️ Elections
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — 5 or more

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$8k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If at least 5 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — Exactly 0
92%
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — Exactly 1
5%
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — Exactly 2
4%
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — Exactly 3
4%
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? — Exactly 4
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen