🗳️ Elections
Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 16+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$556
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 9%.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 2+ pts
83%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 4+ pts
80%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 6+ pts
63%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 8+ pts
49%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 10+ pts
35%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 12+ pts
23%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 14+ pts
12%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 18+ pts
8%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Nixon, 2+ pts
8%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Kalshi
9%Check
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$556
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen