🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 5+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
38%
No
62%
No (62%)Yes (38%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$37k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 38%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 1+ pts
68%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 3+ pts
55%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
24%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 7+ pts
23%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 9+ pts
14%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts
14%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 11+ pts
7%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
6%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 13+ pts
5%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 15+ pts
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
38%
probability of YES
Kalshi
38%Check
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$37k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen