🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 14%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 1+ pts
68%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 3+ pts
55%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 5+ pts
39%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
24%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 7+ pts
23%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 9+ pts
14%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
6%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 13+ pts
5%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 15+ pts
2%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 11+ pts
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
14%
probability of YES
Kalshi
14%Check
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen