Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 15+ pts

Live

Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

97%

No (97%)Yes (3%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 1+ pts

64%

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 3+ pts

56%

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 5+ pts

36%

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts

25%

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 7+ pts

22%

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 9+ pts

21%

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts

17%

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts

11%

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 11+ pts

10%

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 13+ pts

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

probability of YES

Kalshi

3%Check

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$51

Liquidity$2k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen