🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
56%
No
44%
No (44%)Yes (56%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$7k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 56%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1+ pts
65%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3+ pts
41%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4+ pts
32%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
31%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5+ pts
25%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 2+ pts
23%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6+ pts
23%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts
17%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7+ pts
15%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 4+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 8+ pts
10%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
10%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 6+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 9+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 15+ pts
5%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 11+ pts
5%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 13+ pts
4%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$7k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen