🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
17%
No
83%
No (83%)Yes (17%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$215
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 17%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 1+ pts
64%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 3+ pts
56%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 5+ pts
36%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
25%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 7+ pts
22%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 9+ pts
21%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 11+ pts
10%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 13+ pts
7%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 15+ pts
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
17%
probability of YES
Kalshi
17%Check
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$215
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen