🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 9+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$154
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 21%. Kalshi has moved up 15pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 1+ pts
64%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 3+ pts
56%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 5+ pts
36%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
25%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 7+ pts
22%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts
17%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 11+ pts
10%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 13+ pts
7%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 15+ pts
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$154
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen