🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
68%
No
32%
No (32%)Yes (68%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 68%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 1.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1+ pts
72%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2+ pts
67%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2.5+ pts
59%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3+ pts
57%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4+ pts
53%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3.5+ pts
53%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4.5+ pts
48%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5+ pts
47%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5.5+ pts
47%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6+ pts
41%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7+ pts
33%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 8+ pts
24%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
23%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 9+ pts
21%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 2+ pts
16%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 4+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 11+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 13+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
7%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 6+ pts
6%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 15+ pts
4%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen