🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
59%
No
41%
No (41%)Yes (59%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$18k
Liquidity
$13k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 59%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 3.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1+ pts
77%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2+ pts
76%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1.5+ pts
75%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2.5+ pts
69%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3+ pts
64%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4+ pts
55%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4.5+ pts
50%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5+ pts
45%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5.5+ pts
44%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6+ pts
41%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7+ pts
32%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 8+ pts
28%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 9+ pts
21%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
21%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 2+ pts
15%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts
12%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 11+ pts
12%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 4+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 13+ pts
6%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 6+ pts
6%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 15+ pts
6%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$18k
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen