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Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
95%
No
5%
No (5%)Yes (95%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$111k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 95%. Kalshi has moved up 76pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.2+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.4+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5.5+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.6+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.8+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.7+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.9+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7.2+ pts
65%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7.4+ pts
65%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7.1+ pts
40%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 11+ pts
1%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 15+ pts
0%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 13+ pts
0%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 8+ pts
0%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 9+ pts
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
95%
probability of YES
Kalshi
95%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$111k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen