🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 7+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$309
Liquidity
$11k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 22%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 1+ pts
64%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 3+ pts
56%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 5+ pts
36%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
25%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 9+ pts
21%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts
17%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 11+ pts
10%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 13+ pts
7%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 15+ pts
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$309
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen