🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
35%
No
65%
No (65%)Yes (35%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 35%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1+ pts
63%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2+ pts
51%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3+ pts
38%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
29%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5+ pts
28%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 2+ pts
22%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6+ pts
19%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7+ pts
15%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts
14%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 4+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 8+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 6+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 9+ pts
8%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 11+ pts
5%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 15+ pts
3%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 13+ pts
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen