🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 2+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
24%
No
76%
No (76%)Yes (24%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$353
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 24%.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1+ pts
64%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2+ pts
55%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3+ pts
45%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4+ pts
35%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5+ pts
27%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
27%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6+ pts
22%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts
15%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7+ pts
15%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 4+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 8+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 6+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 9+ pts
8%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 11+ pts
5%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 15+ pts
3%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 13+ pts
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$353
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen