🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
99%
No
1%
No (1%)Yes (99%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$13k
Liquidity
$273k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 99%. Kalshi has moved up 63pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.2+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.4+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5.5+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.6+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.8+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.7+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.9+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7+ pts
95%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7.1+ pts
94%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7.2+ pts
65%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7.4+ pts
50%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 9+ pts
1%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 11+ pts
1%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 15+ pts
0%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 13+ pts
0%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 8+ pts
0%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13k
Liquidity$273k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen