🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 4+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 11%.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1+ pts
63%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2+ pts
51%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3+ pts
38%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4+ pts
33%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
29%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5+ pts
28%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 2+ pts
22%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6+ pts
19%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7+ pts
15%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts
14%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 8+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 6+ pts
9%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 9+ pts
8%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 11+ pts
5%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 15+ pts
3%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 13+ pts
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen