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Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7.2+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
49%
No
51%
No (51%)Yes (49%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 49%.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 7.2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 5.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 1.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 2+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 3.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4.5+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 4+ pts
100%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.2+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.6+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.4+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.8+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.7+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 6.9+ pts
99%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7.1+ pts
97%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7+ pts
96%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 7.4+ pts
49%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 8+ pts
1%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 9+ pts
1%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 11+ pts
0%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 15+ pts
0%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — El-Sayed, 13+ pts
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
49%
probability of YES
Kalshi
49%Check
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen