🗳️ Elections
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 13+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$7k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Mississippi Senate margin of victory
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 3+ pts
80%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 5+ pts
65%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 7+ pts
45%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 17+ pts
32%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 9+ pts
29%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 11+ pts
17%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 19+ pts
16%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 21+ pts
5%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 23+ pts
5%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 15+ pts
4%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$7k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen