🗳️ Elections
South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 9+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
23%
No
77%
No (77%)Yes (23%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$259
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 23%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 1+ pts
83%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 3+ pts
68%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 5+ pts
39%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 7+ pts
38%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 1+ pts
13%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 13+ pts
12%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 11+ pts
11%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 15+ pts
8%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 17+ pts
1%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 19+ pts
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
23%
probability of YES
Kalshi
23%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$259
Liquidity$10k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen