🎯 Other
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Henry Cuellar
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Henry Cuellar leaves or announces that they are leaving the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Haley Stevens
17%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Lisa Murkowski
10%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — John Fetterman
7%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Thomas Massie
6%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Don Bacon
5%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen