🎯 Other
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Lisa Murkowski
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
54%
No
46%
No (46%)Yes (54%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$10k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 54%. Kalshi has moved up 42pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Lisa Murkowski leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Haley Stevens
28%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Thomas Massie
10%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — John Fetterman
9%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Don Bacon
5%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Henry Cuellar
5%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen