🗳️ Elections
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Doctors Without Borders

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$16k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 9%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
14%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine
10%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Save the Children
9%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yulia Navalnaya
8%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mark Carney
8%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Court of Justice (ICJ)
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Minneapolis
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Criminal Court
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Reporters Without Borders (RSF)
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Svalbard Global Seed Vault
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Shehbaz Sharif
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Vanessa Nakate
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Space Station / ISS partnership
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Parents Circle – Families Forum
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Narges Mohammadi
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sara Al-Saqqa
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — UNRWA
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Committee to Protect Journalists
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Pope Leo XIV
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Association of Judges (IAJ)
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Concordis International
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Peace Research Association (IPRA)
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yad Vashem
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Chow Hang-tung
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Matt Meyer
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Donald Trump
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — European Union
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$16k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen