Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? — Above 185 million

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Resolves Jan 8, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

12%

88%

No (88%)Yes (12%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 12%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 185 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? — Above 170 million

77%

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? — Above 175 million

26%

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? — Above 180 million

18%

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? — Above 190 million

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Avg probability

12%

probability of YES

Kalshi

12%Check

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Resolution

Jan 8, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity—

CategoryElections

StatusOpen